郑永祥 著 林剑云 译

Yung-Hsiang Cheng

关键词：高速铁路；建造—运营—转让；台湾；整合；交通影响

Keywords：High Speed Rail; Build-Operate-Transfer; Taiwan; Integration; Transportation Impact

摘要：

本次研究的目的是找出在BOT 模式下建造和运营的台湾高速铁路系统潜在的问题和面对的挑战。同时也介绍了日本、法国、德国和其他国家类似铁路系统在最初阶段的运营经验。文章首先介绍了台湾高速铁路的发展历程，对此交通系统进行了建后成本—效益分析；其次，检视了令人失望的乘客率，并且探索了提高乘客率的可能方法；第三，研究了高速铁路对于城际交通市场的影响；最后，讨论了高速铁路和不同的已有交通模式之间的整合问题。文章还提出了一些政策建议，帮助交通系统的专家、中央和地方政府的决策者们制订出全面深入的后高速铁路时代规划战略，以期形成一个更为统一集成的交通系统。

Abstract：

This study aims to identify some possible issues and challenges for Taiwan’s High Speed Rail (HSR) system which was constructed and is operated under a Build-Operate-Transfer(BOT) model. The operational experiences in the initial stage of equivalent systems in Japan France Germany and elsewhere introduced herein. This study first presents Taiwan’s HSR system development and conducts an ex post cost-benefit analysis of transportation system. Second unsatisfied ridership is examined to look for possible solutions to increase it. Third the paper examines the impact of HSR on the intercity transportation market. Finally the integration between HSR and various existing transportation modes is discussed. Several policy suggestions are included which are useful for the decision makers of transportation system’s entrepreners the central government and the local authorities to derive a comprehensive post- HSR planning strategy for a more integrated transportation system. 

郑永祥，台湾“国立”高雄第一科技大学运输与仓储营运系， 助理教授

林剑云，毕业于英国卡迪夫大学城市规划专业，现就职于澳大利亚使馆

• [1] Arduin J P, Ni J. French TGV network development[J]. Japan Railway& TransportReview40, 2005, 22–28. 

  [2] Banister D, Berechman Y.Transport Investment and the Promotion of Economic Growth[J].Journal of Transport Geography, 2001, 9(3):209–218. 

  [3] Blum U, Haynes KE, Karlsson C K. The Regional and Urban Effects of High-speed Trains[J].The Annals of Regional Science, 1997, 31(1):1–20. 

  [4] Bonnafous A. The Regional Impact of the TGV[J].Transportation,1987,14(2): 127–137. 

  [5] Coto-Milla' n P, Inglada V Rey B. Effects of Network Economies in High-speed rail: the Spanishcase[J].The Annals of Regional Science, 2007, 41(4): 911–925. 

  [6] DeRus G, Inglada V. Cost-benefitanalysisofthehigh-speedtraininspain[J].The Annals of Regional Science, 1997, 31(2):175–188. 

  [7] Froidh O. Market Effects of Regional High-speed Trains on the Svealandline[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2005,13(4):352–361. 

  [8] Froidh O. Perspectives for a Future High-speed Train in the Swedish Domestic Travel Market[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2008, 16(4):268–277. 

  [9] Fujita, Takayoshi. Comparative Culture Study—High-speed Railway systems in Japan and South Korea[J]. Japan Railway&Transport Review, 2007, 48:36–39. 

  [10] Givoni M. Development and Impact of the Modern High-speed Train:a review[J]. Transport Reviews, 2006, 26(5):593–611. 

  [11] Givoni M, Banister D. Airline and Railway Integration[J]. Transport Policy, 2006, 13 (5): 386–397. 

  [12] Lin K S, Su C W, Hu Y C. Chung H.Y.In:Study on Establishing the Decision Support System and Integrated Database for Transportation Infrastructure Deliberations(1/3). MOTC, Taiwan, 2008. 

  [13] Lopez-Pita A, Robuste F. Impact of High-speed Lines in Relation to Very High Frequency Air Services[J]. Journal of Public Transportation, 2005, 8(2):17–36. 

  [14] MOTC, Ministry of Transportation and Communications. Investigation of passenger transfer preferences on HSR transfer transportation mode, survey report(in Mandarin Chinese), 2008. 

  [15] Nash C A. The Case for High Speed Rail.Investigaciones Economicas XV, 1991, 337–354. 

  [16] Park Y, Ha H.K. Analysis of the Impact of High-speed Rail Road Service on Air Transport Demand[J]. Transportation Research Part E, 2006, 42(2): 96–140. 

  [17] Plassard F. Transport and the spatial distribution of activities, RoundTable 85, Economic Research Centre, European Conference of Ministers of Transport, OECD,Paris,1991. 

  [18] Roll M. Verbeke A. Financing of Trans-European High-speed Rail Networks: new forms of public-private partnerships[J]. European Management Journal, 1998, 16(6): 706–713. 

  [19] Stubbs J, Jegede F. The Integration of Rail and Air Transport in Britain[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 1998, l6(1):53–67. 

  [20] Suh S, D, Yang K Y, Lee J H, Ahn B M, Hyun J. Effects of Korean Train Express (KTX) Operation on the National Transport System. Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 2005, 5:175–189. 

  [21] Vickerman R. High-speed Rail in Europe: experience and issues for future development[J]. The Annual of Regional Science, 1997, 31(1): 21–38. 

  [22]Wardman M. 2006.Demand for Rail Travel and the Effects of External Factors[J]. Transportation Research Part E, Logistics and Transportation Review, 2006, 42(3):129–148. 

  [23] Website of THSRC, http://www.thsrc.com.tw. 

• 收起